The Grade Progression Ratio (GPR) is a standard component of school enrollment forecasting. In many cases, past enrollment is the best predictor of future enrollment. The GPR captures students’ enrollment patterns as they move from one grade to the next. For example, the PK3-to-PK4 GPR for SY16-17 is calculated by dividing the number of students in PK4 in the SY2016-17 audit by the number of students who were in PK3 in the SY2015-16 audit. A ratio greater than 1 (more than 100%) indicates that additional students entered who were not enrolled in the previous grade. A ratio below 1 (less than 100%) suggests that students may be transferring away from the city, sector, school, or the public school system.
GPRs are different than re-enrollment because they don't necessarily reflect the same students. For example, if there were 100 students in PK3 in Year 1, and all 100 left the system while 110 new students enrolled in PK4 in Year 2, the GPR would be 1.1 or 110% (110/100). The tables provided here include 3-year moving averages in the tooltips.
Grade Progression Rates, SY2016-17 to SY2025-26
Source: OSSE Audited Enrollment, SY16-17 to SY25-26 Note: DCPS feeder pattern GPR data on EdScape is currently limited to SY21-22 to SY25-26, or five school year transitions. More school years are available in the downloadable dataset.
